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Tag: Weather Blog

How much rain fell during Elsa? Here’s a county-by-county tour

Tropical Storm Elsa dropped some big rain totals in parts of Southwest Florida in the past 24 hours, especially in western Lee and Charlotte Counties. That’s where most areas averaged more than 6″, with some areas exceeding 11″! Though South Florida is accustomed to heavy rain, that much rain falling across such a large area in less than a day can lead to significant flooding, and that was especially the case in areas of Cape Coral, Punta Gorda and Port Charlotte during the morning commute. Related story: Waterborne illness lurk in lingering floodwaters, health officials...

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How a snowman can help you visualize the impacts of wind shear on Tropical Storm Elsa

Wind shear has been a big influence on the evolution of Tropical Storm Elsa over the last day, and a big reason why it was able to weaken from a hurricane back to a tropical storm earlier this weekend.    Something to keep in mind during storm season is that the strongest tropical storms and hurricanes that can develop are often well-organized vertically. By this, we mean that the center of circulation in the low levels of the atmosphere lines up fairly closely with the center of circulation in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. When storms organize and align vertically they can become...

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Demonstrating why a hurricane’s forward speed matters

The rapid forward speed of Hurricane Elsa the past several days has been a noticeable statistic anyone following the storm’s movement has surely noticed.  In the last two days, Elsa’s been racing across the ocean anywhere from 25 to 30 mph.   When we talk about forward speed, we’re looking at how fast the entire storm system is moving across the map.  We’re not talking about the winds around the storm, as they’re much faster (gusting up to 86 mph in Barbados on Friday morning for example). So when looking at just the forward...

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First forecast cone issued on Potential Tropical Cyclone 5

Areas of South Florida just south of Collier County are inside the long-range forecast cone of Potential Tropical Cyclone 5.  The initial advisory was released at 5 p.m. this evening and shows the system becoming a tropical storm later tonight, and then moving west-northwestward over the Caribbean Sea this weekend. As of now, the extended range of the forecast cone does include parts of Florida, just south of the Collier County line. It’s important to note that forecast cones do not depict the only areas that see impacts from tropical systems. The cones express where based on...

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Two areas of interest in the Atlantic

Two tropical waves have the potential to develop as they move generally west-northwest through the Atlantic.  The first area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms but is unlikely to develop over the next few days with only a 10% chance of development. The second area of interest has a greater chance of development at 50% over the next two days and a 70% chance of development over the next five days.  During the month of June, it is more common to see developments in the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean. As of now, those regions are quiet. The NBC 2 First Alert...

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Tropical Depression 4 forms off coast of Georgia and South Carolina

The National Hurricane Center will begin issuing advisories on Tropical Depression 4 at 11 a.m. Monday morning.  The depression is the feature we’ve been watching off the coast of South Carolina and Georgia for the past several days. It will not impact our local weather in Southwest Florida.   Tropical Depression 4 will be moving onshore today with a forward speed of at least 15 mph. This will bring gusty wind and heavy rain to southern South Carolina and eastern Georgia through the afternoon and evening.  Tropical Depression 4 is not the only tropical feature being watched by the National...

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